Poll: ‘Other’ surge in Senate voting intention and strong rejection of Newstart cuts
A new national poll of more than 10,000 Australians has shown the continued strong support for minor parties and independents in Senate voting intentions.
The poll also measured opinion on the proposal to cut Newstart. 55% of respondents said the Senate should vote down the cut, just 32% said the Senate should pass the government bill.
“There is strong opposition to the dole cut across Australia,” Executive Director of The Australia Institute, Ben Oquist said.
“Newstart is already at a record low beneath the poverty line. Business, the community sector have long been advocating for an increase in the dole. It would be a policy and political mistake to cut it further.
“The high One Nation Senate voting intention recorded in this poll appears to have come partly at the expense of the Coalition support, but also as an expression of gathering the smattering of micro-party votes under one ticket.
“Pauline Hanson, a seasoned and skilled politician, is successfully capturing a large share of the ‘anti-politics’ vote,” Oquist said.
The ReachTEL poll commissioned by The Australia Institute surveyed 10,271 residents nationally on the evening of 30 August.
Question: Thinking about the upper house or senate. If a federal election were held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote in the senate?
|
|
Total |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Liberal National Coalition |
32.4% |
32.3% |
32.5% |
26.5% |
32.9% |
32.6% |
41.5% |
|
Labor |
28.0% |
28.4% |
27.6% |
30.0% |
26.4% |
29.1% |
25.9% |
|
The Greens |
11.5% |
12.2% |
10.8% |
16.1% |
12.2% |
9.3% |
5.4% |
|
Nick Xenophon Team |
6.5% |
6.6% |
6.4% |
4.1% |
7.3% |
8.1% |
7.0% |
|
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation |
10.4% |
9.2% |
11.7% |
10.5% |
10.6% |
9.6% |
11.2% |
|
Derryn Hinch |
2.4% |
2.6% |
2.2% |
2.4% |
2.3% |
2.7% |
2.2% |
|
Family First |
1.7% |
1.8% |
1.6% |
1.9% |
1.7% |
1.9% |
1.2% |
|
Other / Independent |
3.7% |
3.3% |
4.2% |
6.1% |
2.5% |
3.4% |
2.0% |
|
Undecided |
3.3% |
3.5% |
3.0% |
2.3% |
4.0% |
3.3% |
3.5% |
|
|
Total |
ACT |
NSW |
NT |
QLD |
SA |
TAS |
VIC |
WA |
|
Liberal National Coalition |
32.4% |
25.9% |
30.3% |
33.7% |
34.7% |
29.2% |
33.1% |
34.1% |
33.6% |
|
Labor |
28.0% |
32.4% |
31.3% |
33.7% |
26.3% |
25.3% |
27.1% |
25.0% |
29.5% |
|
The Greens |
11.5% |
16.5% |
11.8% |
7.4% |
8.1% |
6.1% |
14.8% |
14.9% |
12.1% |
|
Nick Xenophon Team |
6.5% |
6.5% |
4.6% |
10.5% |
5.6% |
23.5% |
4.2% |
5.4% |
4.7% |
|
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation |
10.4% |
5.9% |
11.7% |
8.4% |
16.6% |
8.0% |
7.6% |
6.0% |
8.6% |
|
Derryn Hinch |
2.4% |
0.6% |
2.4% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.8% |
0.4% |
5.0% |
2.0% |
|
Family First |
1.7% |
0.6% |
0.9% |
1.1% |
2.2% |
3.4% |
0.8% |
2.3% |
0.9% |
|
Other / Independent |
3.7% |
8.2% |
3.3% |
1.1% |
3.4% |
1.7% |
7.2% |
4.5% |
3.9% |
|
Undecided |
3.3% |
3.5% |
3.7% |
3.2% |
2.6% |
1.9% |
4.7% |
2.9% |
4.7% |
Question: The Newstart allowance is currently $263.80 per week for a single person with no children. The Turnbull government proposes to cut Newstart for new recipients by $4.40 a week (removing the clean energy supplement).
Should the Senate pass the legislation cutting the Newstart allowance?
|
|
Total |
Female |
Male |
18 – 34 |
35 – 50 |
51 – 65 |
65+ |
|
Yes |
32.3% |
28.5% |
36.3% |
33.0% |
33.8% |
31.0% |
30.2% |
|
No |
54.9% |
56.6% |
53.1% |
54.7% |
52.9% |
58.8% |
53.1% |
|
Don’t know |
12.9% |
14.9% |
10.7% |
12.3% |
13.3% |
10.2% |
16.8% |
|
|
Total |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Oth/Ind |
Und |
|
Yes |
32.3% |
56.6% |
11.5% |
6.9% |
33.9% |
28.7% |
|
No |
54.9% |
28.5% |
80.0% |
82.1% |
54.5% |
41.5% |
|
Don’t know |
12.9% |
14.9% |
8.5% |
11.0% |
11.5% |
29.8% |
|
|
Total |
NSW |
VIC |
QLD |
WA |
SA |
TAS |
NT |
ACT |
|
Yes |
32.3% |
32.6% |
28.3% |
39.7% |
30.0% |
28.5% |
29.5% |
34.4% |
31.6% |
|
No |
54.9% |
55.4% |
59.1% |
46.8% |
56.9% |
56.3% |
58.6% |
45.8% |
57.3% |
|
Don’t know |
12.9% |
12.0% |
12.6% |
13.5% |
13.1% |
15.2% |
11.8% |
19.8% |
11.1% |
|
|
Total |
Income <$600 |
Income $600-$1000 |
Income $1000-$2000 |
Income >$2000 |
Income No answer |
|
Yes |
32.3% |
23.8% |
33.6% |
35.0% |
41.4% |
32.2% |
|
No |
54.9% |
62.9% |
55.3% |
53.9% |
50.1% |
48.9% |
|
Don’t know |
12.9% |
13.3% |
11.0% |
11.1% |
8.5% |
19.0% |