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The Australia Institute commissioned ReachTEL to poll the federal seats of Mayo (736 respondents) and Longman (727 respondents) on the evening of Thursday June 21.

Key Findings:

50/50 TPP in Longman
62/38 TPP favouring Centre Alliance candidate Rebekah Sharkie in Mayo
Mayo: 24.9% support for cutting company tax rate for large business (71% want tax rate increased or kept same)
Longman: 33% support for cutting company tax for large business (64% want tax rate increased or kept the same)
Both electorates overwhelming want government to prioritise spending on services and infrastructure and reducing debt, before tax reductions

Question: If the by-election for the seat of Mayo were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?

	Total	Female	Male	18 – 34	35 – 50	51 – 65	65+
Centre Alliance – Rebekha Sharkie	43.5%	48.8%	38.1%	24.8%	43.9%	52.3%	45.6%
Liberal – Georgina Downer	32.7%	29.9%	35.6%	29.3%	33.5%	28.2%	39.1%
Labor – Reg Coutts	8.2%	9.2%	7.1%	15.0%	7.5%	5.6%	7.0%
The Greens – Major Moogy Sumner	9.0%	9.2%	8.8%	23.3%	6.9%	6.9%	3.3%
Other / Independent	4.1%	1.3%	6.8%	4.5%	5.2%	5.1%	1.9%
Undecided	2.6%	1.6%	3.6%	3.0%	2.9%	1.9%	3.3%

Two party preferred result based on respondent allocated preferences

	Total
Centre Alliance – Rebekha Sharkie	*62%*
Liberal – Georgina Downer	*38%*

Question: If the by-election in the federal electorate of Longman were held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?

	Total	Female	Male	18 – 34	35 – 50	51 – 65	65+
Labor – Susan Lamb	39.1%	43.5%	34.4%	20.4%	40.9%	53.8%	43.6%
LNP – Trevor Ruthenberg	34.9%	28.8%	41.4%	38.8%	35.8%	25.8%	40.6%
One Nation – Matthew Stephen	14.7%	13.4%	16.1%	23.0%	10.2%	13.7%	10.5%
The Greens – Gavin Behrens	4.4%	5.1%	3.7%	9.7%	2.3%	3.3%	1.5%
Other / Independent	3.7%	5.4%	2.0%	5.6%	4.2%	2.7%	2.3%
Undecided	3.2%	3.8%	2.5%	2.6%	6.5%	0.5%	1.5%

Two party preferred result based on respondent allocated preferences

	Total
Labor – Susan Lamb	*50%*
LNP – Trevor Ruthenberg	*50%*

Question: Large companies (like banks, mining companies and supermarkets) currently pay a company tax rate of 30% of their profits. The government is proposing to cut this rate to 25%.

Should the rate of company tax for large companies be increased, kept the same or decreased?

	Longman	Mayo
*Increased + Kept the Same — Total*	*63.6%*	*71.4%*
Increased	28.8%	24.5%
Kept the same	34.8%	46.9%
Decreased	33.0%	24.9%
Don’t know/ not sure	3.4%	3.7%

“There is no compelling economic case for large company tax cuts,” said Ben Oquist, executive director of The Australia Institute.

“Repeated analysis shows there is no link between a country’s company tax rate and employment, economic growth or prosperity.

“These poll results again show that the community understands that company tax cuts are not in Australia’s long term interests.

“Australia needs a secure long term revenue base if a decent society is to be maintained and the public gets the services and infrastructure they deserve.”

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