Public spending keeps the economy going as the private sector is hit by rate rises
Fast rising interest rates have slowed the economy so sharply that only government spending is keeping it growing
GDP growth figures released today show the economy almost grinding to a halt. The economy grew by only 0.2% for the quarter and just 1% over the last year. The release of these GDP figures shows that the Reserve Bank is wrong when it says, “the economy is running a bit hot” and it is time to start cutting interest rates.
The only reason the economy has seen any growth is because of the contribution of government spending. Without this contribution the economy would have shrunk by 0.2% this quarter. Worst still, without the government’s contribution the economy wouldn’t have grown at all over the last year.
This highlights just how weak the private sector is right now. Household spending is down. Business investment is down. The private sector has been smashed by the rapid rise in interest rates, demand has dried up and production is grinding to a halt.
The current economic conditions highlight how close the Australian economy is to recession and how damaging high interest rates have been to the economy. With inflation falling in Australia and around the world it is time for the Reserve Bank to follow other central banks and cut interest rates.
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