Test, Trace, Isolate and Quarantine
The Doherty Modelling makes clear that without a highly functioning Test, Trace, Isolate and Quarantine (TTIQ) system we have no chance of stopping Australia’s ICUs from being overwhelmed; the problem is the effectiveness of TTIQ declines as case numbers rise and that has not factored into the modelling.
Our ability to ‘Test, Trace, Isolate and Quarantine’ people who have been exposed to Covid19 has been the front line of Australia’s defence against Covid. But while Australia’s TTIQ is world class, it can and will be overrun if case numbers are allowed to keep rising. The Doherty Modelling makes clear that without a highly functioning TTIQ system we have no chance of stopping our country’s ICUs from being overwhelmed. Join Richard Denniss as he unpacks some of the assumptions underpinning the Doherty modelling and why they are cause for concern.
australiainstitute.org.au // @theausinstitute
Host: Ebony Bennett, Deputy Director at the Australia Institute // @ebony_bennett
Guest:
Richard Denniss, Chief Economist The Australia Institute // @RDNS_TAI
Producer: Jennifer Macey //@jennifermacey
Theme Music: Pulse and Thrum; additional music by Blue Dot Sessions
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Doherty Modelling Assumptions Don’t Adequately Account for Changed TTIQ Capabilities
While the effectiveness of ‘test, trace, isolate, quarantine’ (TTIQ) is dependent upon case numbers, new analysis from the Australia Institute shows the Doherty Modelling does not adequately take this into account. Key findings: While most discussion is around vaccine rates and COVID cases at the time of transition to Phase B (‘opening up’) a significant