Is Australia living beyond its means? > Check the facts

Share

Who: “It [a budget surplus] matters because Australia doesn’t fund itself as a nation. We are running a current account deficit of around $50 billion every year, so we borrow from the rest of the world to fund our lifestyle and that is clearly not sustainable.” Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey The claim: The budget deficit is causing us to borrow unsustainably from overseas. The facts: The graph below, plotting budget balance and current account deficit, shows that there is no simple link between government deficits and borrowing from overseas. The finding: Australia’s lifestyle is not unsustainable at least in the sense meant here and moving to a budget surplus would not necessarily reduce foreign borrowing. Discussion of evidence: It is apparent from the graph that there is little or no relationship between Australia’s budget balance and the current account deficit (CAD). To the extent that a budget surplus could be produced it would most likely not be associated with an improvement in Australia’s current account balance. This was evident during the period 1999 to 2008, shaded in grey, when the government ran budget surpluses and, if anything, the CAD increased. This means that despite a surplus under the Howard government the CAD remained very large but it was not regarded as a problem.

Between the Lines Newsletter

The biggest stories and the best analysis from the team at the Australia Institute, delivered to your inbox every fortnight.

You might also like

Stage 3 Better – Revenue Summit 2023

by Greg Jericho

Presented to the Australia Institute’s Revenue Summit 2023, Greg Jericho’s address, “Stage 3 Better” outlines an exciting opportunity for the government to gain electoral ground and deliver better, fairer tax cuts for more Australians.