Landslide Labor win out of proportion to primary vote

by Skye Predavec

Share

Labor won nearly two-thirds of all the seats in the House of Representatives with just over a third of first preferences.

In the 2025 federal election, Labor won a landslide victory. That victory reflects the strong preference Australians had for the Labor Government over the Liberal–National Opposition. In 100 of the 150 seats in the House of Representatives, most voters preferred the Labor candidate to the Liberal or National one.

However, while Labor was preferred on preferences, only about 35% of Australians gave the party their first preference. Despite this, Labor won 62% of the seats. In other words, about five million of the fifteen million votes cast were “1 Labor”, but the party won 94 of the 150 seats in the House of Representatives.

Major parties win more seats than their share of the vote because only one member of Parliament (MP) represents each seat.

Other countries have similarly distorted results. For example, in the 2024 United Kingdom election the Labour Government won 34% of the vote and 63% of the seats. Significantly, the United Kingdom does not use preferential voting but rather first-past-the-post. If anything, Australia’s full preferential voting system reduces distortions.

An alternative to “winner takes all” is proportional representation, where parties and candidates win seats based on their share of the vote. Proportional representation allows for more diverse representation of parties and interests – as in the Australian Senate or the New Zealand Parliament.

Still, the 2025 House of Representatives result is distorted even by Australian standards. The gap between vote share and seat share is the greatest in recent history – as shown in the figure above.

Conversely, the poor showing for the Liberal–National Coalition is actually relatively proportional. In 2025, the Liberal–National Coalition won 32% of the primary vote and 29% of the seats. For two elections in a row, the Coalition’s seat count has been relatively proportional to their vote.

Between the Lines Newsletter

The biggest stories and the best analysis from the team at the Australia Institute, delivered to your inbox every fortnight.

You might also like