The Limits of CGE Modelling

The surprising assumptions behind computable general equilibrium models and the implications of not knowing about them
by Richard Denniss and Matt Saunders

Economic modelling is a central element of economic and policy debate in Australia. Yet the assumptions that underpin the most commonly used macroeconomic models are rarely discussed even though they fundamentally influence model results. Too often, models are used as a tool of persuasion rather than providing objective policy advice.

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