August 2023
The latest latest inflation figures make it clear the RBA should not raise rates
The Reserve Bank should keep rates on hold as the biggest drivers of service prices will not be affected by interest rate rises.
July 2023
Inflation is falling so let’s make sure we don’t let unemployment rise
Inflation is coming down fast so we should now shift our attention to making sure unemployment does not rise
Hollywood actors showing that unity is strength
When workers are united, and able to collectively bargain, they can win good outcomes
If the unemployment rises to 4.5% who is likely to lose their job?
The RBA is currently targeting a 4.5% unemployment rate, and that is going to hurt young, low skilled and low paid workers,
June 2023
New enterprise agreement data shows more evidence that wages are not driving inflation
The latest data on Enterprise Bargaining Agreement highlights that wage remains very much within levels that are consistent with the Reserve Bank’s inflation target
Bolstered by a biased tax system, house prices keep rising
As interest rates rise, the gains from negative gearing increase.
The number of people working multiple jobs hits another record
For the sixth consecutive quarter a record number of people are working more than one job
OECD confirms that inflation has been mostly driven by corporate profits
In the debate over what is driving inflation – the OECD has looked at 15 nations across the world and found that in Australia and most other nations, the answer is profits
The economy is slowing as households get smashed by yet more rate rises
A slowing economy and households closing their wallets is bad news with a Reserve Bank determined to keep raising rates
The level of public housing needs to return to previous levels
Australia needs more housing, and we definitely need more public housing
May 2023
Real wages falls and interest rates rises signal tough times for households and the economy
You can’t sustain household spending while real wages continue to fall, and households are starting to let everyone know
As profits rise, workers continue to be the ones reducing inflation
While record company profits are dismissed as “short-term” workers continue to suffer ongoing falls in real wages
Wages are growing solidly but real wages continue to plummet
Wages are growing the best they have for 11 years, but real wages are now back at the level they were 14 years ago
The RBA raised rates in March and May despite its own analysis saying they were not needed
The Reserve Bank’s own research showed that raising rates after February would only increase unemployment, not lower inflation
Don’t worry about a budget surplus, worry about a slowing economy
Rather than be a budget that will fuel inflation, the budget is actually closer to austerity than stimulation
Wage growth under enterprise agreements shows no signs of driving inflation
Wages growth under enterprise agreements show that workers continue to be the ones doing it toughest during the period of high inflation
Lower inflation but lower wages – the RBA predicts lower real wages
By the middle of 2025 the average wage will be worth less in real terms than it was a decade and half earlier
The latest enterprise agreements show public sector workers are being hurt by wage caps
Stronger wage growth in the private sector is good news, but public sector workers continue to be left behind
It’s not just mining – non-mining profits have also driven inflation
As the Reserve Bank continues to raise rates, it continues to misread the nature of inflation that is being driven largely by profits.
The Reserve Bank’s decision to raise rates shows a total lack of coherency
Wages growth is rising slowly and inflation is falling faster than expected, and yet the RBA decided to hit the economy again with another rate rise.
April 2023
The Housing Crisis
Australia’s housing crisis is only getting worse, and our social housing shortfall has ballooned to 500,000 and rent is skyrocketing. So how did we get here, and what can be done? This episode is a live recording from the Australia Institute’s Politics in the Pub series. This was recorded on Wednesday 19th April 2023 and
Latest inflation figures show the RBA was right not to raise rates in April
Inflation is falling steadily but hitting low-income households the most.
Slow improvement in wages growth under enterprise agreements
Wages under enterprise agreements are slowly rising, but remain well below inflation
The Stage 3 tax cuts are so geared towards the rich that most workers will pay more tax in 2025 than they did in 2022
Losing the low-middle income tax offset and getting the Stage 3 tax cuts will leave most workers worse off
The Stage 3 tax cuts are bad economics combined with terrible politics. They should be dumped.
The Stage 3 tax cuts were always bad, but with the removal of the low-middle income tax offset, they become a terrible political strategy as well
Wealth inequality across generations will only fuel voter disenchantment
Millennials are not becoming more conservative as they age – and the rigged housing market is just one reason why
With the impact of rate rises still to come the RBA is wise to pause
Perhaps as much as a third of the rate rises since April have yet to fully hit the economy
March 2023
Stop the fear, give workers a fair pay rise
The whole point of public-sector wage caps is to keep all wages down
Falling inflation growth should give the RBA pause
The latest monthly consumer price index figures show that inflation has peaked and is on the way down.
The market sees the safeguard mechanism deal as a loser for mining companies
The market’s early view of the safeguard mechanism deal is bad for gas and coal mining companies
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