May 2024
Walking the inflation tightrope
Inflation isn’t falling as fast as most economists want, but a rate rise now would do more harm than good, says Greg Jericho.
‘Sticky’ inflation is not falling – but it’s not rising, either. Why should that mean another RBA rate hike?
The latest inflation figures released on Wednesday showed that inflation is “sticky” and is no longer falling at the pace it was earlier this year.
Poverty is a policy choice
According to the Productivity Commission, wealth inequality declined during the COVID years due to boosted government support payments. And when those payments finished, predictably inequality went back up. The overwhelming majority of gains from economic growth since the GFC have gone to the wealthiest people. On this episode, Greg Jericho discusses inequality, poverty, and government
Raising jobseeker is not ‘fiscally sustainable’? Sorry, but that is flat out wrong
On Monday the Productivity Commission released its snapshot of inequality report.
The budget and why your wages are lagging 14 years behind
The pandemic and runaway inflation reversed more than a decade of progress on living standards in just two years – and it’s going to be a long wait for them to inch back, says Greg Jericho.
Australians have lost 14 years of progress on living standards. A wages breakout? Please. If only
Remember all that talk about wage-price spirals? About wages driving inflation? All that worry about a wages breakout causing interest rates to rise? Ahh yes, good times.
No, the budget is not inflationary
For a budget to be inflationary there needs to be actual evidence of surging demand. In this budget we have the opposite
.Australia budget 2024: the six graphs you need to see
A bigger surplus this year and a bit bigger deficit next year! Does it matter?
Calls for massive rate hikes and recession are cavalier: Jericho
Inflation will remain higher for longer, but a recession is not the solution, says Greg Jericho.
“Sticky” inflation does not mean more rate rises are needed
The majority of items driving inflation now are not responsive to further rate rises
.We. Do. Not. Need. A. Recession.
Calling for a ‘short recession’ as an economist is like calling for a ‘small war’ knowing you’ll never be on the frontlines, says Greg Jericho.
Those calling for higher interest rates in Australia should be careful of what they wish for
It seems that some people really want a recession.
Increasing JobSeeker is possible, it’s just a question of priorities
The government has the power to make significant and long-awaited improvements to the JobSeeker scheme in this federal budget, but it has to make it a priority, says Greg Jericho.
JobSeeker drags people into poverty, but the government could fix this today
Budgets are about choices – and successive governments have chosen to punish jobseekers, says Greg Jericho.
Poverty is a policy choice – it is time for the government to choose better
If the government decided to make raising Jobseeker a priority in the Budget it would not talk about not being able to afford it, writes Greg Jericho.
.April 2024
The government shouldn’t boast about Australia’s latest CPI figures, but it shouldn’t panic either
Despite what the fearmongers would have you believe, the latest inflation figures showed that inflation remains well under control.
People are starting with much larger HECS/HELP debts than in the past – and it is only going to get worse
Australians in their 20s have HECS/HELP debts more than $10,000 greater in real terms than did people 20 years ago
HECS/HELP indexation is sending those earning less than $65,000 backwards
Ending the indexation of HECS/HELP debts would deliver a truly interest free-loan for students
.Wages growth in enterprise agreements provides no reasons for worry about inflation
Wage growth in enterprise agreements is at a level completely compatible with long-term inflation targets
Backing the renewable horse
The government is under fire for trying to ‘pick winners’, but green manufacturing could be the pony to get behind, says Greg Jericho.
Funding Australia’s renewable transition isn’t ‘picking winners’ – it’s securing our future
Last week Anthony Albanese finally announced the government’s major plan for the transition to a renewable energy economy.
Investing in a renewable manufacturing industry is vital for Australia’s living standards (and climate)
Australia’s economy is less an advanced economy than it is a petrostate style simple economy. That needs to change
The market expects rates to fall – but that may be optimistic
Greg Jericho discusses the decisions facing the Reserve Bank in coming months and a new report showing that rate rises hurt Australians more than anyone in the world.
Who’s hurting most from rising interest rates? It’s probably you.
Soaring house prices, high household debt and the pervasiveness of variable rate home loans mean that Australians bear the brunt of interest rate rises, says Greg Jericho.
Talk of interest rate cuts soon is optimistic – here’s why the RBA may decide doing nothing is safer
Australians are hurting from rate rises more than anyone. But that doesn’t mean the Reserve Bank is about to start cutting.
Australia’s “stupid” surplus obsession must end
A budget surplus doesn’t mean a government is good at running the economy – we should focus on the choices they make instead, says Greg Jericho.
The big budget con
The budget balance usually steals the headlines on budget night, but it’s not that important, says Greg Jericho.
Whether Australia’s budget has a surplus tells us little about the government’s worth – it’s all on the choices made
We are now a month away from the 2024-25 budget. And as with all budgets, the choices made matter much more than any big numbers that get the media attention.
Don’t worry about a budget surplus, care about the choices in the budget
Budget, Julia Gillard rightly said, are about choices. And those choices are a lot more important than whether or not the budget is in surplus or deficit
“It’s a scare campaign”: award wage rise won’t trigger inflation spiral
With unions calling for a five per cent increase to award wages, business groups are crying wolf over the proposal’s impact on inflation and unemployment, says Greg Jericho.
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