February 2017
Dark side of the boom NSW
As the mining boom ends, the mining clean-up boom is beginning. New research from The Australia Institute released today shows that there is minimal information available to the public on how the clean-up is progressing. The report, Dark side of the boom: What we do and don’t know about mines, closures and rehabilitation in New
Liberals heartland rejects PM’s company tax and renewables agenda
New polling conducted by ReachTEL for The Australia Institute of the electorates represented by Malcolm Turnbull and Tony Abbott reveals strong opposition for cutting the tax rate, particularly for larger companies. Both electorates registered more support for increasing the company tax rate than cutting it. In the Prime Minister’s electorate of Wentworth 43% supported an
When did Donald Trump become Malcolm Turnbull’s celebrity tax adviser
Malcolm Turnbull is using Donald Trump as a celebrity endorsement for his plan to give corporate Australia a $50 billion tax cut. But, like all dealings with people who are famous for being famous, the risks can be greater than the returns. Take Trump’s views on free trade. First published by the Australian Financial Review
January 2017
Morrison’s company tax competitiveness argument fails the evidence test
New research counters argument that Australia must ‘compete’ with other countries by lowering its company tax rates in order to encourage foreign investment. The report shows that 71 per cent of foreign investment applications come from countries with company tax rates lower than Australia’s rate. Recent foreign investment flows have increased rapidly from countries with
SUMMER SPECIAL Sam Dastyari
Follow The Money summer specials continue with an absolute pearler from the first Politics in the Pub last year (2016) featuring charasmatic, controversial Senator, Sam Dastyari. Richard Denniss described it as ‘the best Politics in the Pub speach yet.’ Senatory Dastyari opened with the omission that he was ‘A product of the Labor machine’. And
Billionaires get more leeway than vulnerable citizens. It’s obscene
When politicians spend taxpayers money flying themselves to fundraising parties or flying to their own weddings, we leave it up to the politician to decide if their claim is “outside of entitlement”. First published on The Guardian – here When it comes to income tax we allow people to claim $300 worth of tax deductions without receipts because
The Turnbull government has a silver foot in its mouth
The travel rorts scandals make the Turnbull government look like it’s out of touch, but its plans to give $50 billion in company tax cuts over the next 10 years are about to prove it beyond doubt. First published in the AGE and Canberra Times – see here. This time last year Prime Minister Turnbull
December 2016
SUMMER SPECIAL Econobabble
Welcome to our second Follow The Money summer special! If you’re taking a break this summer, but still craving a political fix – we are here to help. Over the summer we’ll bring you the highlights from The Australia Institute’s popular Politics in the Pub live sessions from 2016. In this episode you’ll hear a discussion from
Government debt would be zero if we had Howard tax levels
This op-ed was first published on 19 December on Crikey here > https://www.crikey.com.au/2016/12/19/rudd-gillard-and-abbott-cut-taxes-a… The debate surrounding MYEFO and whether Australia has a credible path back to a surplus should start by remembering how we got here. If Scott Morrison had delivered much of Peter Costello’s taxation ratio the budget would not be in deficit today. This
Revenue the key to budget problems
The Australia Institute have today published Taxing times: The impact of the GFC on tax revenue in Australia which models the sharp decline in Australian budget revenues against a scenario where pre-GFC tax ratios were maintained. This research shows that the main factor leading to the post-GFC deficits and the accumulation of government debt has
The notion of evidence-based policy in Australia is dead
The notion of evidence-based policy in Australia is dead. While it’s been in poor health for some time, it was finally killed by the Coalition backbench last week and replaced with “gut instinct” and “the pub test”. First published by the Australian Financial Review – here When Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce was recently quizzed
If a taxpayer subsidy falls in the forest, and no one hears it…
The Western Australian government’s state owned Forest Products Commission (FPC) is logging WA’s native forests at a financial loss to the state, as shown in a new report from The Australia Institute, titled Barking Up the Wrong Trees. “The people of Western Australia are losing jarrah and karri forests, and in the process making a
Australia half-way to first recession in 25 years
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has released a larger than expected fall in GDP, putting the economy into negative growth at -0.5%. GDP at the lowest rate since 2008 at the height of the Global Financial Crisis. The biggest single culprit to the fall in growth was reduced government capital expenditure. Government capital spending, which
New analysis of WA’s $5 iron ore levy proposal
The Australia Institute has assessed the proposal for a $5 levy on iron ore in Western Australia. The policy should be supported as a pragmatic alternative to a resource rent tax. The analysis finds that if the $5 levy had been imposed on relevant production over the last five years it would have raised $11.5
What Does The ABCC Have To Do With House Prices?
House prices – what is to blame? Our economists look at the claim from the Prime Minister that the ABCC was needed to stop ‘union thugs’ pushing up house prices. They also look at the tax breaks for investors. No prizes for guessing what the evidence shows is actually effecting house prices. Contributors: Jim Stanford
November 2016
Do we want house prices up or down?
Just as market forces were about to push the price of housing down in Australia, the Treasurer stepped in with some new regulation. Phew. Some first home buyer’s nearly snatched a good deal, but luckily the Treasurer was there to protect the property developers from the oversupply their building bonanza created. [First pubished by the
World’s largest sovereign wealth fund called on to dump offshore detention operator shares
New research from The Australia Institute has revealed that Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, known as ‘Oljefondet’, has US$280 million invested in Ferrovial. After its takeover of Australian company Broadspectrum, Spanish company Ferrovial is now responsible for the biggest contract to run Australia’s offshore detention camps. The offshore detention camps are notorious for human rights abuses,
ABCC will do nothing for housing prices: Report
As the Senate continues to debate the proposed Australian Building and Construction Commission, new research from the Centre for Future Work challenges the government’s claim that construction labour costs have pushed up Australian housing prices.
New figures show Australians taking less annual leave
23 November 2016 is National Go Home On Time Day, an initiative which encourages employers and employees to raise awareness of the importance of a healthy work-life balance.
Go Home on Time: Wednesday 23 November
The Centre for Future Work is proud to host this year’s Go Home on Time Day. It’s the eighth annual edition of this event, which draws light-hearted attention to a serious issue: the economic, social, and health consequences of excess working hours.
Interest always trumps ideology
In the modern version of “the battle of ideas” political interests trump political ideology nearly every time. Take, for example, the alleged supporters of “small government” who have been strategically silent as the Australian resource industry pushed for a $100 billion, wholly government owned, nuclear waste dump in South Australia. First published by the Australian Financial Review
Some jobs are more equal than others
When Tony Abbott promised to shed more than 13,000 full time jobs from the public service there was a deafening silence from the Australian business community about the impact of job loss on Canberra communities and families. Likewise, you could hear crickets when Campbell Newman sacked 10,000 teachers, nurses and other Queensland public servants.
Economic Models
Economic models are like a lot of things in life: What you get out of them depends on what you put in. But therein lies the problem. When reporting focuses on the ‘findings’ without looking at what assumptions underpin politically influential economic models, it leaves us vulnerable to what Richard calls the ‘peak-stupid of econobabble’.
October 2016
Interest Rates
Interest rates may be one of the most discussed and least understood area of economics in Australia. Our Chief Economist and Senior Economist discuss the whats and whys of Reserve Bank policy and how interest rates really effect people and the broader economy. Contributors: Richard Denniss – @RDNS_TAI Matt Grudnoff – @MattGrudnoff Ebony Bennett – @ebony_bennett. Produced by
New taxes are not political death
The ACT election result is further proof that Australian conservatives have a tin ear. Either that, or because they spend so much time telling voters scary stories about taxes and public debt that there is simply no time to listen to what the voters are really want. First published by the Australian Financial Review –
What’s Wrong With Privatization?
You know that the tides of public opinion are starting to turn, when even the head of the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, Mr. Rod Sims, will come out in public and criticize the usual claims that privatization is good for efficiency and national well-being.
Denying The Downside Of Globalization Won’t Stop Populism
The rise of anti-globalization sentiment, including in Australia, poses a big challenge to mainstream politicians who’ve been trumpeting the virtues of free trade for decades.
September 2016
Barnett and Costello: how to waste a boom
Successful investors let their winning bets run while quickly cutting their losses. But while the strategy of “spreading your bets” and “failing fast” might work for venture capitalists, it doesn’t work well for prime ministers. A chief executive that shuts down an underperforming factory is decisive; a PM who abandons Tasmania or regional Western Australia is divisive.
Selectivity: Government ignores $8.4b in carbon price compensation
While the Turnbull government has argued that carbon price compensation for welfare recipients must be cut because there is no longer a price on carbon, the income tax cuts delivered at part of the Gillard reforms will remain, and cost the budget bottom line far more. The government claimed $1.3 billion in savings over the
Poll: ‘Other’ surge in Senate voting intention and strong rejection of Newstart cuts
A new national poll of more than 10,000 Australians has shown the continued strong support for minor parties and independents in Senate voting intentions. The poll also measured opinion on the proposal to cut Newstart. 55% of respondents said the Senate should vote down the cut, just 32% said the Senate should pass the government
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