Research // Tax, Spending & the Budget
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March 2017
Easytax resurrected: A look at One Nation’s economic and taxation policies
Pauline Hanson’s February 2017 announcement that One Nation will again campaign for a flat-rate 2 per cent turnover tax takes her back to a policy position she first adopted nearly two decades ago.Initial analysis suggests that a shift from the current taxation mix to a 2 per cent turn over tax as proposed by Senator
February 2017
Inequality & poverty in Australia: Still no case for the removal of the clean energy supplement
In the 2016 budget the government announced that it would close carbon tax compensation to new recipients of welfare payments. This would save the government $1.4 billion over the forward estimates, by reducing the income of some of the poorest Australians by around $10 per fortnight. This cut was introduced to the Parliament in September
Review of the Petroleum Resource Rent Tax
The Australia Institute welcomes the opportunity to make a submission to Treasury’s Review of the Petroleum Resource Rent Tax (PRRT). The review occurs at a time when Australia is set to become the world’s largest gas exporter, yet PRRT revenues are declining. Several major gas projects are unlikely to pay PRRT for decades, according to
Oligopoly money
A full third of the benefit of a company tax cut would be enjoyed by just 15 companies in Australia. Once phased in the cut would be worth $6.7 billion per year to these companies. Most of these companies are ‘oligopolies’ that dominate their markets and have little incentive to reinvest proceeds of a tax
January 2017
Company tax and foreign investment in Australia
“…do you know any foreigners you want to give 5% of our national company income to? Any deserving cases out there?” The available evidence suggests that Keating is indeed correct — Australia is on the brink of handing a large gift to foreign investors while the evidence suggests Australia will not get even the dubious
December 2016
Taxing times
This paper looks at the effect that the fall in tax revenue post Global Financial Crisis (GFC) had on the Commonwealth’s budget. It does this by modelling what would have happened if revenue had instead remained at the government’s tax revenue target of 23.9 per cent of GDP. The difference between what actually happened and
NAIF Polling
The NAIF will spend $5 billion of public funds in Northern Australia on infrastructure that is unable to attract commercial financing, which could include subsidising the controversial Adani Carmichael coal mine. Australians don’t want their money funding infrastructure for coal and gas companies under the $5 billion Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF), national polling released
The $5 levy on iron ore in WA
The Australia Institute has assessed the proposal for a $5 levy on iron ore in Western Australia. The policy should be supported as a pragmatic alternative to a resource rent tax. The analysis finds that if the $5 levy had been imposed on relevant production over the last five years it would have raised $11.5
October 2016
Australians support a super profits tax on banks
A nationally representative poll conducted by The Australia Institute through Research Now asked about attitudes towards implementing a super profits tax on Australian banks. The poll asked: A ‘bank super-profits tax’ would collect a higher rate of tax from banks on top of existing taxes, but levied only on especially high bank profits. Would you approve
September 2016
Submission: Budget Savings (Omnibus) Bill 2016
The Australia Institute submission to the Economics Legislation Committee for its inquiry into the Budget Savings (Omnibus) Bill 2016 critiques the proposed savings on the grounds that they will increase inequality and harm innovation.
Tax cuts and scrapping the Clean Energy Supplement
In the 2016 budget the government announced that it would close carbon tax compensation to new recipients of government welfare benefits. This will have the effect of reducing the amount paid to welfare recipients. This will save the government $1.3 billion over the forward estimates. The clean energy supplement was not the only part of
August 2016
Inequality & poverty in Australia: The case against the removal of the clean energy supplement
New research released by the Australia Institute today shows that government moves to cut unemployment benefits will put recipients at 32% below the poverty line. The research also highlights staggering inequality in Australia where the 10 richest Australian families have the same wealth as the poorest 3.9 million Australians combined.
July 2016
Post-election polling shows agreement on issues, expectation for politicians to negotiate with crossbench
Post-election polling of 2875 voters from across Australia showed the majority of Labor, Green and Independent voters prefer negotiations with cross bench MPs to form government rather than calling another election. 47.0% of all respondents support negotiations with independents and minor parties to form government while 46.3% said ‘call another election’. — Polling results in
June 2016
Four for One?
Are there really four dollars benefit for every one dollar company tax cut? Last year Treasury published a paper which purported to show that there was a four dollar benefit for every dollar cut in company taxes. In the paper accompanying the 2016-17 Budget, a new set of results was published which dealt directly with
Taking an educated guess
A reveiw of OECD data of the relationship between living standards and cuts in company tax rates compared with the provision of better education services.
May 2016
How will the corporate tax cut be funded?
The Coalition’s proposal to reduce the corporate tax rate will result in a significant loss of tax revenue and, in turn, will have a significant impact on the budget balance. The government has argued that the loss in tax revenue will be offset, in part, by the increase in economic activity that they believe will
Company tax cuts: An Australian gift to the US Internal Revenue Service
New research, based on US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) data, shows that the proposed company tax cut would see the Australian tax system delivering billions of dollars to the US Treasury.
Good economics or populism?
April 2016
From Start to Finnish
This discussion paper outlines two different possible implementations of the Finnish model. The first alternative is a direct translation of the Finnish system and would result in a loss of revenue for the state. The second alternative is a modification of the first to estimate a revenue neutral alternative.
March 2016
Company tax cuts: Report shows lack of evidence of ‘Growth Dividend’
International and Australian data on tax rates and macroeconomic indicators provides no evidence of link between corporate tax cuts and a ‘growth dividend’. Despite widespread acceptance of the argument that cutting the corporate tax rate will boost economic growth, the economic evidence is not there according to a new report from David Richardson, Senior Research
February 2016
Briefing Note: Are government plans to tackle bracket creep good for average people?
The government has spent a considerable amount of time talking about bracket creep with a particular focus on average incomes ‘creeping’ into the second top tax bracket. The government seems increasingly likely to focus any income tax cuts to prevent these average wage earners from being pushed into the second highest tax bracket. An example
Tax concessions by age
The Australia Institute has released data from modelling commissioned from NATSEM together with ATO statistics which show that young Australians are receiving little benefit from three of the budget’s most expensive tax concessions. The research shows Australians under 30 years of age receive only 6.4% of the combined tax concessions on superannuation, the capital gains
Surprise me when I’m dead: Revisiting the case for estate duties
This paper argues that an estate tax would make a useful contribution to the government’s tax armoury. The aging of the population means that the tax base is likely to be expanding well into the future. In addition the estate duty is useful because it is levied at a time when the one who accumulated the assets no
January 2016
Finland’s Fine Example
This paper examines how the Finnish model of progressive traffic fines could work in Australia, and estimates the effect on individuals at different income levels.
Capital Gains Tax – Main Residence Exemption
The largest tax concession in Australia is the capital gains tax (CGT) exemption for themain residence. Last year it cost the budget $46 billion and is predicted to cost the budget $189 billion over the next four years. Each year the cost of the CGT exemption on for the main residence costs the federal budget more than